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2024-12-13 05:36:45

ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.Asian Development Bank: Reduce India's growth forecast from 7.0% to 6.5% in 2024 and from 7.2% to 7.0% in 2025.CITIC Securities: More positive policy signals are expected to drive the market of resource products. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting released more positive policy signals, and the improvement of the real economy is expected to boost the prices of upstream resource products and lead the sector to return to the upward trend. It is suggested to focus on three main lines: 1) improving the fundamentals of general steel, coking coal, copper-aluminum basic metals and chemicals with strong consumption attributes; 2) Bonus varieties such as crude oil and thermal coal under favorable market liquidity; 3) Growing varieties such as lithium and rare earth under the favorable market style.


Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.After the strike ended, the delivery of Boeing aircraft dropped to 13 in November. On Tuesday, Boeing reported that it delivered 13 commercial jets in November, less than a quarter of the 56 jets delivered to customers 12 months ago. The number of deliveries in October decreased from 14 in October, when most of the company's aircraft production was still in a state of suspension, and 33,000 factory workers went on strike for seven weeks, which ended on November 5. Boeing shares closed up 4.5% on Tuesday. The aircraft manufacturer said that after weeks of methodical preparations, the company restarted the production of the 737 MAX and loaded the new fuselage into the Renton factory in Seattle.The restricted shares with a market value of 463 million yuan were lifted today. Smith Barney, Foreign Service Holdings and Aimeike were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Wednesday (December 11th), the restricted shares of four companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 31.3389 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 463 million yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, one company lifted more than 10 million shares. Smith Barney Technology, Foreign Service Holdings and Pulitzer were among the top, with 24,446,500 shares, 6,503,200 shares and 234,800 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by a company exceeds 100 million yuan. Smith Barney Technology, Foreign Service Holdings and Aimeike are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 392 million yuan, 34.8574 million yuan and 33.43 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of one company released from the ban exceeded 10%. Smith Barney Technology, Foreign Service Holdings and Aimeike are among the top companies, with the lifting rates of 29.38%, 0.28% and 0.05% respectively.


Huatai Securities: The expected recovery and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the policy blessing. Huatai Securities Research Report said that on December 9, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting, stressing that it would "implement more active and promising macro policies" and pointed out that it would "stabilize the property market and stock market". Since the end of September, continuous favorable policies have supported fundamental improvement. The central government reiterated its support for real estate at key meetings, which means that there may be more room for policy support next year, and a more relaxed environment is expected to consolidate this improvement trend. The expected repair and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the blessing of policies. In the follow-up, we should still pay attention to the sustainability of market volume and price recovery and the progress of macro-support policies, purchasing and storage, urban village reconstruction and other policies. Before confirming the bottom of the market, we are more optimistic about housing enterprises with more resources and stable operation in core cities; At the same time, property management companies with resilient performance and stable cash flow are also expected to benefit from the market's stabilization.Japanese and Korean stock markets opened slightly lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down 0.02% at 39,357.77. South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 0.2% to 2,412.15 points.Google asked the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to terminate the exclusive cloud service agreement between Microsoft and OpenAI.

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